Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000234 0.000262 0.000291 0.000325 0.000364 0.000405 0.000453
2024-12-15 0.000198 0.000237 0.000280 0.000334 0.000398 0.000471 0.000563
2024-12-22 0.000171 0.000216 0.000270 0.000340 0.000428 0.000536 0.000677
2024-12-29 0.000150 0.000198 0.000260 0.000344 0.000455 0.000598 0.000795
2025-01-05 0.000130 0.000181 0.000247 0.000342 0.000473 0.000649 0.000904
2025-01-12 0.000116 0.000167 0.000239 0.000344 0.000495 0.000707 0.001027
2025-01-19 0.000105 0.000157 0.000232 0.000347 0.000519 0.000769 0.001160
2025-01-26 0.000093 0.000145 0.000221 0.000343 0.000532 0.000815 0.001274
2025-02-02 0.000088 0.000142 0.000224 0.000358 0.000574 0.000908 0.001468
2025-02-09 0.000082 0.000136 0.000220 0.000363 0.000600 0.000979 0.001634
2025-02-16 0.000076 0.000130 0.000216 0.000367 0.000625 0.001048 0.001802
2025-02-23 0.000070 0.000122 0.000210 0.000366 0.000640 0.001104 0.001953
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000115 0.000202 0.000364 0.000655 0.001161 0.002116
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000109 0.000197 0.000364 0.000674 0.001228 0.002304
2025-03-16 0.000054 0.000104 0.000192 0.000365 0.000695 0.001301 0.002511
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000099 0.000188 0.000366 0.000715 0.001374 0.002725
2025-03-30 0.000046 0.000093 0.000181 0.000362 0.000725 0.001428 0.002906
2025-04-06 0.000043 0.000088 0.000177 0.000362 0.000744 0.001501 0.003134
2025-04-13 0.000040 0.000085 0.000174 0.000365 0.000767 0.001585 0.003392
2025-04-20 0.000037 0.000080 0.000168 0.000360 0.000775 0.001639 0.003592
2025-04-27 0.000036 0.000080 0.000171 0.000376 0.000828 0.001788 0.004013
2025-05-04 0.000035 0.000078 0.000170 0.000381 0.000858 0.001894 0.004348
2025-05-11 0.000033 0.000076 0.000168 0.000385 0.000886 0.001997 0.004686